### YOUR CHANCES OF WINNING

## PRELIMINARY: ALLERGIC TO MATH?

**Do not panic. Poker math assimilate very quickly because they often respond to concerns fairly intuitive.**

Notions odds, percentages or chances to win a sudden are instinctively understood by all. This is just to refine its vision to be able to make the right decision at the right time. Nothing so insurmountable. Proof is the author of these lines is himself a former dunce In this first article we will help you to familiarize yourself with the concept of outs.

## I – THE OUTS: DETERMINE YOUR CHANCES OF WINNING

Called **out** any card that is favorable to you. Was more outs, the greater the chance to improve his hand.

**A - ****Example # 1**

You have on hand:

You have 8 outs for a straight draw are:

**B – Example # 2**

You have:

The flop:

You have 2 outs to hit your set:

**C - ****Example No. ****3**

You have:

The flop comes:

You have 9 outs to a flush draw are:

**D - ****Example No. ****4**

You have:

The flop:

You have 9 outs to a flush and a straight 4 by drawing the belly. As Valmet full clover both color and more, it gives you a total of 12 outs.

**E - ****Example No. ****5**

You have:

You have 15 outs to a royal flush draw, color and a straight through the stomach are:

## II – CALCULATING HIS CHANCES OF RECEIVING YOUR CARDS

**Rule of 4 and 2**

% to touch your cards on the flop = Number of outs x 4 % to touch your card to the river from the turn = Number of outs x 2

- On the flop he rest 2 cards to come: turn + river). Take the number of outs and multiply by 4.

- On the turn there is one card to come: the river. Take the number of outs and multiply by 2.

This rule is very simple, reliable and very close to real results. Once at the top you will see that very soon you will not have to do this because **they are the same numbers that come up most often** .

When you have **14 or more outs on the flop** , do not hesitate to bet because you are ahead!

**A - ****Example No. ****1**

Let one of the previous examples. You have on hand:

The flop:

You have 8 outs for a straight draw are:

To complete your straight draw you have 8 outs. Which gives you 32% chance touching post flop: 4 x 8 = 32%

If the turn reveals an interest-card for you then you will have 16% chance of hitting your flush on the river: 2 x 16% = 8 outs

**B - ****Example No. ****2**

Same resume an example seen below. Your cards:

The flop:

You have 2 outs to hit your set:

To have a set you have 2 outs. This gives you 8% chance touching post flop: 4 x 2 = 8%

If the turn reveals an interest-card for you then you will have a 4% chance of hitting your flush: 2 x 2 = 4% outs

**C – PERCENTAGES ACCURATE**

## III – THE OUTS counts

We call **outs counted** (discounted outs VO) maps to help you make your draw, but at the same time make the hand of your better than your opponent.

If you wait a straight both ends – an OESD , you have 8 outs. If your opponent is on a flush draw, it means that you have two cards of your décomptez outs since these make it better than your hand. Obviously it is you never possible to know precisely the set of opponent vote. For that you need to familiarize yourself with the concept of range of hands.

Counting outs can be seen as a simple way to take into account the probability of hitting its circulation to finally lose the shot.

**A - ****Example No. ****1**

Your cards:

The flop:

Given that there is a flush draw you have to count your outs all spades if you think that one of your opponents in the chase without a color. This leaves only you 6 outs:

We say they are out of the **clear** .

**B - ****Example No. ****2**

Your cards:

The flop:

So your have 9 outs to make your color:

If your opponent has in hand a lady. It has a set on the flop. If the kicker is a 10, then you have to count the 10 clover your outs because if this card falls Villain will have a full house (which beat your color). You only have 8 outs clear.